Hosts Morocco favored against Mali in Rabat showdown, backed by strong head-to-head and form stats.

Morocco National Team

Statistical Breakdown: Morocco vs Mali

The highly anticipated Group A encounter between hosts Morocco and Mali at the Prince Moulay Abdellah Stadium in Rabat on December 26, 2025, promises intrigue as the Atlas Lions aim to secure early progression.

Morocco kicked off with a commanding 2-0 win over Comoros, showcasing 70% possession, 90% passing accuracy (582/647 completed), and seven shots on target.

Mali National Team

Mali drew 1-1 with Zambia despite leading late.

Head-to-Head Highlights

  • Only AFCON finals meeting: Morocco 4-0 Mali (2004 semi-finals) – Morocco’s joint-biggest AFCON win and Mali’s joint-heaviest defeat.
  • All competitions (20 meetings): Morocco 9 wins, 5 draws, 6 losses; Morocco scored 36, conceded 14.
  • Morocco unbeaten in last three H2H (all clean sheets).

Morocco’s Strengths

  • Unbeaten in 12 AFCON group-stage games (last defeat 2017).
  • In second group matches: Only 3 defeats in 19, unbeaten in last several.
  • Overall AFCON: 30 wins in 75 games, 89 goals scored.
  • Current form: Extended unbeaten competitive run.

Player notes: Ayoub El Kaabi (30th international goal), Brahim Díaz (first AFCON goal).

Mali’s Challenges

  • In second group matches: Just 1 win in 13 (2004), no wins in last nine.
  • Overall AFCON: 22 draws in 60 games (most in history), 72 goals scored/70 conceded.
  • Recent: Resilient but lack cutting edge in key moments.

Player note: Lassine Sinayoko scored vs Zambia.

The numbers heavily favor Morocco, with historical dominance, home advantage, and superior group-stage records pointing to a likely Atlas Lions victory. Mali’s draw record shows resilience, but trends suggest a tough evening in Rabat.

Expect a controlled performance from the hosts in this pivotal Group A fixture.